Early polls put President Joe Biden and former President (and presumed GOP nominee) Donald Trump in a dead heat in the key battleground state of Nevada.
The poll puts registered voters split at 46% Biden and 45% Trump, similar to nationwide polling early in the 2024 election cycle.
Many of those who back Biden admit their reason for supporting the current president is opposition to Donald Trump, not necessarily direct support of Biden. Over half said they would vote against Trump, not for Biden.
Trump is the presumed GOP nominee, though it’s not yet official.
Trump enjoys broad support in the Nevada caucuses across various demographics. He garners the majority of backing across age groups, genders, educational backgrounds, and political leanings.
Approximately 60% of potential GOP caucus participants prioritize either championing conservative values (37%) or demonstrating empathy for people like them (24%) as the key traits for their party’s nominee.
Most voters also consider these attributes important individually, with 73% valuing empathy and 63% emphasizing conservative values. Those who deem these traits essential are more inclined to support Trump: 74% favor Trump among those valuing conservative values versus 49% among those who find it less important.
Similarly, 70% opt for Trump among those emphasizing empathy, compared to 53% among those ranking it lower.
Majorities also highlight the importance of the GOP nominee embodying the party’s future (64%) and attracting support beyond party lines (52%). However, fewer voters view these qualities as top priorities, with 13% prioritizing broad support and 10% emphasizing the party’s future.
Most prospective Republican caucusgoers identify the economy as their primary concern when selecting a candidate for the nomination (55%). Immigration ranks second at 19%, followed by voting rights and election integrity at 11%, while fewer than 5% prioritize other issues.